Episode 16: Week 2 Match-ups and info

Thursday, July 28, 2016

Quick Hit: The Jets

With all the confusion of how to project the Jets this season let's re-visit what they're capable of now that Ryan Fitzpatrick is at the helm.  The key to this situation doesn't necessarily stem from Fitzpatrick's evaluation as an actual NFL quarterback... It really has most to do with the chemistry involved between the offensive pieces and the Chan Gailey (offensive coordinator).  Three main pieces I would target in this offense:


Brandon Marshall
Season
G
Yds/Rec
Catch %
Tar
Rec
Yds
TD
FPTS
2015
16
13.8
63%
173
109
1,502
14
339.2
Final 8 games
8
14.0
63%
87
55
772
9
*
16 gm pace
16
14.0
63%
174
110
1,544
18
372.4
2016 projection
16
13.9
63%
160
100
1,401
10
300
  • I expect a small regression and I am projecting him for his floor with TD's.  Marshall is perhaps the safest 2nd round pick you can think of.  His floor is so high.  His ADP should stay in the 2nd round and I would never fault someone for taking him there.

Eric Decker
Season
G
Yds/Rec
Catch %
Tar
Rec
Yds
TD
FPTS
2015
15
12.8
61%
132
80
1,027
12
252.7
Final 8 games
8
12.6
56%
78
44
555
6
*
16 gm pace
16
12.6
56%
156
88
1,110
12
271
2016 projection
16
12.7
58%
144
84
1,066
10
250.6
  • Second in the league last year in red zone targets.  41 TD's since 2012.  An absolute steal in drafts in the 6th round right now.

Bilal Powell
Season
G
Att
Tar
Rec
Yards
TD
yds/touch
FPTS
2015
11
70
63
47
701
3
6.0
135.1
Final 6 gms (wk 11-16)
6
32
44
32
483
3
7.5
*
16 gm pace
16
85
117
85
1,288
8
7.5
261.8
2016 projection
16
90
100
72
1,053
3
6.5
195.3
  • I am choosing to target Powell in this offense instead of Forte because I do not think it is smart to pay a 3rd round price for him.  Forte is without question the lead back, but it goes unnoticed that the Jets paid Powell nearly the same amount of money as they did Forte.  Powell in that offense last year was on a hell of a pace and the chemistry I talked about from the start plays a big role for me here.  Not to mention Forte's health may be victim to father time as he showed a bit last season.
 
 

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