Jarvis Landry - ADP 3.02 (15th overall WR) - My Ranking = 22th overall WR
Season
|
G
|
Yds/Rec
|
Catch %
|
Tar
|
Rec
|
Yds
|
TD
|
FPTS
|
| 2015 |
16
|
10.4
|
66%
|
167
|
111
|
1,159
|
5
|
268
|
| final 8 games |
8
|
10.8
|
64%
|
90
|
58
|
624
|
2
|
*
|
| 16 game pace |
16
|
10.8
|
64%
|
180
|
116
|
1,248
|
4
|
264.8
|
| 2016 projection |
16
|
10.6
|
65%
|
155
|
100
|
1,067
|
8
|
254
|
- This year is tricky for me with Jarvis because he has been such catch monster, but I went back and looked at new coach Adam Gase and his usage between his big outside WR and the slot WR I noticed that targets for the slot guy are down compared to what Jarvis is used to, but TD potential does rise. I love Landry as a WR, but I think he is going a little too early for me.
Season
|
G
|
Yds/Rec
|
Catch %
|
Tar
|
Rec
|
Yds
|
TD
|
FPTS
|
| 2015 |
16
|
12.4
|
59%
|
177
|
105
|
1,304
|
6
|
267.4
|
| final 8 games |
8
|
12.7
|
52%
|
84
|
44
|
559
|
5
|
*
|
| 16 game pace |
16
|
12.7
|
52%
|
168
|
88
|
1,118
|
10
|
259.8
|
| 2016 projection |
16
|
12.5
|
56%
|
172
|
97
|
1,212
|
8
|
266.2
|
- DeMaryius gets a bad rap because of the expectations he had going into last season. Catching 105 balls for 1,300 yards is incredible and this season his QB play cannot be statistically worse than last season. Whether it's Sanchez or Lynch it will be at worst the same as 2015. Thomas has seen a regression in TD's each of the last 3 years, but if he can stay on the pace he finished the season with then he will very well be back in the solid WR1 conversation. DeMaryius going here in the 3rd round is fair value for my rankings.
Season
|
G
|
Yds/Rec
|
Catch %
|
Tar
|
Rec
|
Yds
|
TD
|
FPTS
|
| 2015 |
16
|
13.6
|
65%
|
129
|
84
|
1,140
|
9
|
253.8
|
| final 8 games |
8
|
14.1
|
68%
|
63
|
43
|
608
|
6
|
*
|
| 16 game pace |
16
|
14.1
|
68%
|
126
|
86
|
1,216
|
12
|
279.6
|
| 2016 projection |
16
|
13.8
|
67%
|
127
|
85
|
1,173
|
10
|
262.3
|
- Cooks is hands down Drew Brees favorite target. Newly acquired Coby Fleener may take away from Cooks TD ceiling, but an argument can be made that this Saints offense has enough passing volume to sustain 2 pass catchers getting double-digit touchdowns. Cooks is fair value for me going where he's going.
Season
|
G
|
Yds/Rec
|
Catch %
|
Tar
|
Rec
|
Yds
|
TD
|
FPTS
|
| 2014 |
16
|
13.8
|
50%
|
145
|
73
|
1,008
|
9
|
225.8
|
| 2016 projection |
16
|
13.8
|
55%
|
145
|
80
|
1,100
|
9
|
244
|
- Kelvin had a nice rookie season and after sitting out a year with his torn ACL it's hard to imagine he is going to improve greatly on his catch rates from 2014. This projection is a nice season for him, but I don't really see how his ceiling can be much higher than this. I feel his is grossly overvalued being taken in the middle of the 3rd round.
Season
|
G
|
Yds/Rec
|
Catch %
|
Tar
|
Rec
|
Yds
|
TD
|
FPTS
|
| 2015 |
16
|
16.3
|
51%
|
134
|
69
|
1,124
|
5
|
211.4
|
| 7 gms w/Luck |
7
|
17.7
|
47%
|
65
|
31
|
548
|
3
|
*
|
| 16 gm w/Luck |
16
|
17.7
|
47%
|
146
|
71
|
1,252
|
6
|
232.2
|
| 2016 projection |
16
|
17.0
|
60%
|
146
|
87
|
1,479
|
7
|
276.9
|
- I absolutely loved Hilton heading into the 2015 season. Unfortunately for the entire Colts offense it was a lost season. Luck being healthy and an upgrade on the offensive line this season could put my Hilton love 1 year early. I like Hilton's value at this spot in the 3rd round. I'd be more than happy to take him here. If I was implementing the zero running back concept in a draft and was able to get Hilton as my WR3 and maybe Dion Lewis in the 4th round as my first RB drafted I would be ecstatic.
Season
|
G
|
Yds/Rec
|
Catch %
|
Tar
|
Rec
|
Yds
|
TD
|
FPTS
|
| 2015 |
12
|
17.5
|
65%
|
93
|
60
|
1,047
|
9
|
218.8
|
| weeks 9-17 |
9
|
18.4
|
63%
|
78
|
49
|
900
|
7
|
*
|
| 16 gm pace |
16
|
18.4
|
63%
|
138
|
87
|
1,600
|
12
|
319
|
| 2016 projection |
16
|
17.9
|
64%
|
131
|
84
|
1,507
|
12
|
306.7
|
14
|
17.9
|
64%%
|
115
|
74
|
1,315
|
10
|
265.5
|
- What a polarizing player Watkins can be. I've projected him for 16 and 14 games to show the impact he can still have if he misses the first few weeks of the season with that foot injury. His pace to finish the season last year was incredible. High end WR1 upside that if you can get at the end of the 3rd round is a no brainer for me. Watkins gets an injury wrap and as much as I understand why, he doesn't get credit for how often he has played. He played in all 16 games of his rookie season and played 12 last year (9 in a row to finish the season). If he's back for training camp and I went RB early in the draft I would pull the trigger on Watkins in round 2/3 and feel real good about it.
Season
|
G
|
Yds/Rec
|
Catch %
|
Tar
|
Rec
|
Yds
|
TD
|
FPTS
|
| 2015 |
16
|
10.5
|
61%
|
129
|
79
|
829
|
6
|
202.9
|
| 2014 w/Jordy |
16
|
14.1
|
72%
|
127
|
91
|
1,287
|
12
|
291.4
|
| 2016 projection |
16
|
14.0
|
65%
|
127
|
82
|
1,155
|
10
|
257.5
|
- Well it was quite clear that Cobb was not ready to take over the top wide receiver spot for Green Bay last season. His numbers in 2014 should be closer to what we see this season now that their offense is in tact with Jordy Nelson coming back. I don't trust another 72% catch rate on that many targets and it's hard to account for 12 TD's again. His redzone efficiency in 2014 was pretty incredible. His ADP is this low I think because of the bad taste he left with people who thought he was going to go off last year. So at the end of the third round I feel this is good value to take Cobb.