Mark Ingram Overvalued?

So, to be honest I have been a Mark Ingram supporter for the past 2 seasons.  With that said I can't project him to finish with the monster season I think he is capable of having.  He has proven to me that he can only stay on the field for, at most, 13 games.  This is my breakdown for projecting Ingram's 2016:

MARK INGRAM

Season	G	Att	Tar	Rec	Yards	TD	yds/touch	FPTS
2014	13	226	36	29	1,109	9	4.3	191.9
2015	12	165	60	50	1,172	6	5.5	201.2

New Orleans has the same head coach in Sean Payton and same OC in Pete Carmichael Jr.  Depth chart RB's CJ Spiller and Tim Hightower don't concern me with cutting into his workload either.  So all that's left for me to make my projection for Ingram is averaging out his workload over the past two seasons on a per game basis and then seeing what 13 and 16 games yield.

Projection	G	Att	Tar	Rec	Yards	TD	yds/touch	FPTS
2016	13	203	50	41	1,188	7.8	4.87	206.6
	16	250	61	51	1,465	9.6	4.87	255.1

Fantasy Football Calculator has Ingram's ADP (average draft position) as the second pick in the third round (3.02).  To me that is a bit of an overvalue.  With his highest game total reaching 13 in a season since 2012 I don't consider Ingram a good pick at this spot.  His per game value is nice (15.8 pts/game), but I will need Ingram to prove it to me health wise before I commit again.  I will have a piece in the near future on players I would rather have depending on their ADP.  This is where I will discuss some players I would prefer over Ingram.