What will happen in the new Adam Gase offense? Gase, who was the Denver OC in 2013 & 2014 and Chicago OC in 2015, is staring down the barrel of his first head coaching gig. You may remember his offensive prowess with Peyton Manning and that record setting Denver offense, but what I want to focus on is how the receivers fared during his tenure at each place.
What goes unnoticed about Landry is that although he does most of his damage from the slot position, he lines up on the outside nearly 33% of the time (pro football focus). This is important when looking at what the Adam Gase offense has shown to be over the last 3 years.
2013 Breakdown (Minimum 200 snaps from slot)
2013
|
Tar
|
Rec
|
Yds
|
TD
|
| X-WR (D. Thomas) |
142
|
92
|
1,430
|
14
|
| Slot-WR (W. Welker) |
135
|
90
|
957
|
12
|
- Welker's stats are projected over 16 games. He only played 13 that season.
2014 Breakdown (Minimum 200 snaps from slot)
2014
|
Tar
|
Rec
|
Yds
|
TD
|
| X-WR (D. Thomas) |
184
|
111
|
1,619
|
11
|
| Slot-WR (E. Sanders) |
141
|
101
|
1,404
|
9
|
- E. Sanders played a similar role to what Landry could be looking at. Lining up on the outside more often than a slot receiver typically does.
2015 is a little more difficult to break down given the injuries to the Bear's wide receiver corps. There was no consistency to go on, but Alshon was clearly the #1 guy and his 16 game pace was 167 targets / 96 rec / 1,434 yards / 7 TD.
Jarvis Landry
Season
|
Tar
|
Rec
|
Yds
|
TD
|
2014
|
112
|
84
|
758
|
5
|
2015
|
166
|
110
|
1,157
|
5
|
Given what Landry has already done in Miami and the new opportunities Gase's system brings to a passing attack I find no reason not to be excited for Juice's 3rd year campaign. Haters will talk about a regression in receptions, but I don't see it. The numbers do not support that. Tannehill has thrown the ball nearly 600 times in 3 straight years. In comparison, Denver had 607 pass attempts in 2014. DeVante Parker can catch 100 passes and that still doesn't have to affect Landry (and let's be honest, it's a stretch to imagine Parker catching that many). E. Sanders and W. Welker got more than enough looks. The slot position has produced a higher rate of TD's in this offense and Landry is coming off a season where he was targeted 23 times inside the redzone. The opportunity for a similar season with an uptick in TD's is very realistic for Jarvis, who was a top 12 PPR receiver.
Say what you want about Ryan Tannehill. I am not interested in breaking down his throwing mechanics.. I will leave that to Gase. What I am interested in is his obvious comfort with throwing the ball to Jarvis Landry. That is undisputed. The X-receiver in this offense is going to be DeVante Parker who missed most of his rookie season with a foot injury that has also given him a little issue in OTA's this year. The security blanket in the backfield for Miami, Lamar Miller, is now calling Houston his home. My point is the only bonafide consistency in this offense is the QB and Jarvis Landry. Just trust what you've seen when making decisions on players like this. The guy didn't break the reception record to start a career for no reason. He's good and he will continue to be good.