Every few weeks of draft season in fantasy football we see ADP (average draft position) of players fluctuate depending on the current news fed to us like cattle. I think it's important to have a reference point to what some of these ADP's actually mean. What I like to do, and will share with you now, is to look back to last year (2015) and see where some of the sleeper value's were and compare that to a few players being drafted this year that hold similar potential. For example, Larry Fitzgerald was drafted in the 7th round last year as the WR34 and finished the season as the WR7. Amazing value right? This would qualify as a sleeper. So for me I look at the wide receivers being drafted in the mid-30's this year and see who could potentially do what Fitz did last year. It's a simple process and it helps keep my focus through the draft. Reminding myself that there is incredible talent to be gotten in every round.
The chart is easy to look at and the purpose of the exercise is for you to identify players in a situation on their team that, with a little luck, can find themselves with momentum throughout the fantasy season. Also, sleepers don't have to only happen in later rounds. They really are just players that are outperforming their value by a significant amount. Here's the chart that breaks down a few sleepers of mine this year:
2015 Player
|
2015 ADP
|
2015 Finish
|
|
2016 Comparison
|
2016 ADP
|
Larry Fitzgerald |
7th rd / WR34 |
WR7
|
|
John Brown |
6th rd / WR33 |
-
|
-
|
-
|
|
DeVante Parker |
6th rd / WR32 |
Eric Decker |
9th rd / WR43 |
WR14
|
|
Markus Wheaton |
8th rd / WR41 |
-
|
-
|
-
|
|
Willie Snead |
9th rd / WR44 |
Michael Crabtree |
12th rd / WR55 |
WR16
|
|
Kamar Aiken |
10th rd / WR50 |
Doug Baldwin |
13th rd / WR61 |
WR9
|
|
Sammie Coates |
12th rd / WR55 |
Allen Hurns |
13th rd / WR63 |
WR18
|
|
Rishard Matthews |
13th rd / WR64 |
Of the players on this list my two favorite to target are
John Brown and
Kamar Aiken. I fully expect Willie Snead to build on the chemistry he found with Drew Brees from last year as well. These are good players being drafted in the middle rounds and odds are some will play a big role and delivering some fantasy championships downs the stretch.