Here are the next 13 wide receivers I've ranked in week 2. Valuable info about their matchup.
Blitz Fantasy Life
Episode 16: Week 2 Match-ups and info
Saturday, September 17, 2016
Friday, September 16, 2016
Thursday, September 15, 2016
Top-6 Week 2 Wide Recivers
Which wide receiver to play every week may seem easy, but once the action starts how often do you tell yourself, "I should have played that guy!" All I want to provide on this site and in the podcasts are bits of information to help YOU make the decision. I can give advice all I want, but I'm essentially just another fantasy football player trying to outscore his opponent each week.
Monday, September 12, 2016
Waiver Wire: Week 1 Edition
The week 1 hangover is upon us and now it is time to overreact on the waiver wire. I will remind everyone that Allen Robinson caught one pass in the season opener last year (sounds like a certain receiver we saw in Dallas yesterday). This piece will simply help point you in the right direction of who may be available in your league and which situations you should look to take advantage of.
Sunday, September 11, 2016
Week 1: News and Notes
Thursday, September 8, 2016
Thursday: Carolina @ Denver
Opening day of the NFL season is basically Christmas come early. We will look at some new about this game and what to look for fantasy wise as you try and set your lineup.
Friday, September 2, 2016
Don't do it! Just wait on QB.
Year after year we hear from experts and our favorite podcast hosts to wait on drafting your QB. And year after year I still continue to see QB's come off the board in round 2-3-4 and once the train starts rolling it's crazy how out of control it actually gets. All I want to do today is paint a little picture about why drafting a QB in the top-8 rounds is really costing your fantasy team value as opposed to helping it. Now, I am not saying you can't be successful with drafting a QB early, it just seems a little tougher path and puts more pressure on the other picks you are making. There are typically four or five teams in a draft that owners would be happy with and I'll remind you that no matter what strategy you use, the league is won by the moves you make during the season.
Monday, August 29, 2016
What to do with Dez, Demaryius and Hopkins
So as we wind down towards the end of the pre-season let's look at one topic that will be of interest to most fantasy owners... what to do with Dez, Demaryius and Hopkins. These are three of the most elite wide receivers in the game today and yet they are riddled with question marks. Dez now has to rely on rookie QB Dak Prescott (who he caught 2 TD's from during the pre-season). Demaryius goes from hall of famer Peyton Manning to 7th round flier Trevor Simien. And Hopkins is working with first time QB in Houston Brock Osweiler. Let's just break it down and take it from there.
Wednesday, August 24, 2016
Rob Gronkowski: Player Profile
Rob Gronkowski. Sometimes that's all you need to say when talking about fantasy football excitement. Unfortunately we have not moved on from his 2011 season and him being drafted in the first round is based solely on that production. When it comes to Sunday afternoon and looking for someone to get excited about, look no further than big Gronk, but if you are looking for the ideal scenario for your team, I suggest passing on the TE in the first round.
Sunday, August 21, 2016
James White: Player Profile
Friday, August 19, 2016
Draft This Guy Or That Guy?
As we walk through this draft day journey year in and year out I find the biggest decisions are found between those first four rounds. The decisions seem simple on the surface, but have quite the impact. For me it comes down to a few players that I have to decide between and in this piece I am going to work through them and highlight who I am ultimately choosing.
Thursday, August 18, 2016
Pre-draft Player Nuggets
As we approach our draft day it's always beneficial to find a few informational nuggets that help sway you between two players. I have admittedly flipped a coin in the past and let's just say it didn't go well (Landed on taking Charles Johnson over Allen Robinson). So what I'll do today is share some statistical info that may open (or shut) your eyes on a few fantasy darlings in 2016.
Monday, August 15, 2016
WR Sleepers: August 15th Edition
We are right around the corner from those moments in our fantasy drafts the make us wish we had a crystal ball. Sitting there in the 9th round wondering if you're going to break down and take Denver's defense because there are no names jumping out at you. I will continue to put together a list of some of these names that may help when that time comes. I refuse to let any of my readers settle for a defense when there is prime value staring you in the face.
Saturday, August 13, 2016
Thursday, August 11, 2016
RB Sleepers: August 11th edition
With the second installment of this sleeper piece we are just going to focus on 2016, as opposed to comparing the players to their 2015 counterparts. Again, Sleepers to me are those players you draft that will outplay their value. It is not necessarily a player you have to draft after round 10. I'll always say the draft won't make or break your season, but finding these values will certainly put you in the driver's seat during the tumultuous regular season of fantasy football.
Monday, August 8, 2016
Derek Carr: Player Profile
Derek Carr: QB1 Upside
The next few minutes of reading will be my attempt to show you how valuable a commodity Carr can be for the depth of your fantasy team. Allowing you to focus elsewhere earlier in the draft and still land strong QB play is the strategy here. First, let’s look at the young quarterback’s progression over his first two seasons and what may be in store for 2016.
Friday, August 5, 2016
Blake Bortles Without Regression
No one is giving Blake Bortles a chance of repeating his stellar sophomore season, and it is driving me crazy. I have read all the intricate statistics showing how fortunate Bortles was to throw for 35 touchdowns: his high number of attempts inside the five yard line, the percentage of his team's touchdowns he was responsible for, how far behind the Jaguars were in most games, the color of the mascot's shoes on the third day before a holiday, and everything in between. I get all that, I really do. What doesn't get said, however, is that Blake Bortles is a professional athlete on a professional football team. Maybe we should give him the benefit of the doubt before we tell him what he can't do, especially when he’s already done the things we say he can't do.
Thursday, August 4, 2016
Quick Hit: Adam Gase RB Usage
A lot of news circulating the past few days about Arian Foster looking amazing in Dolphins camp and the idea that Adam Gase wants to use him as a feature back. Some things have shaded the fact that Gase absolutely loves a featured back. Let's look back over the previous three years and how Gase used his running backs and just see how valuable Foster might be at the beginning of the season in 2016.
Wednesday, August 3, 2016
Tom Brady: Player Profile
Saturday, July 30, 2016
RB Sleepers (July 30th)
Two things are constantly talked about throughout the fantasy football offseason: Who's going be your first round pick and who are some sleepers. "Sleepers" is a word thrust into the ever changing lingo of the fantasy world and it also has an array of definitions. For me it is simple, a sleeper is a player you pick that is going to out produce his value by a hefty amount. For example, if you draft a guy as the #35 RB and he finishes the season as the #12 RB then you've got yourself a sleeper. I put together a list of players drafted last year from the 6th round on that performed at sleeper status and compared them to players being drafted in 2016 that have the potential to produce at the same capacity. I find that comparing players and their situation is the best way to find these guys. I am just looking for a correlation between these ADP numbers and how guys outperformed them.
Thursday, July 28, 2016
WR Sleepers (July 29th)
Every few weeks of draft season in fantasy football we see ADP (average draft position) of players fluctuate depending on the current news fed to us like cattle. I think it's important to have a reference point to what some of these ADP's actually mean. What I like to do, and will share with you now, is to look back to last year (2015) and see where some of the sleeper value's were and compare that to a few players being drafted this year that hold similar potential. For example, Larry Fitzgerald was drafted in the 7th round last year as the WR34 and finished the season as the WR7. Amazing value right? This would qualify as a sleeper. So for me I look at the wide receivers being drafted in the mid-30's this year and see who could potentially do what Fitz did last year. It's a simple process and it helps keep my focus through the draft. Reminding myself that there is incredible talent to be gotten in every round.
Quick Hit: The Jets
With all the confusion of how to project the Jets this season let's re-visit what they're capable of now that Ryan Fitzpatrick is at the helm. The key to this situation doesn't necessarily stem from Fitzpatrick's evaluation as an actual NFL quarterback... It really has most to do with the chemistry involved between the offensive pieces and the Chan Gailey (offensive coordinator). Three main pieces I would target in this offense:
Wednesday, July 27, 2016
Best & Worst ADP Values Rounds 1-5 (July 27th)
As every round of the draft passes there are values that come and go. The deeper into the draft you go the more value is waiting to be had. Let me explain what I mean... In round one I am drafting a player that I fully expect to carry my team. This is not a value pick. If I draft DeAndre Hopkins and he has an amazing season, well that is what I drafted him for, it is expected. Now let's take round eight last year. Devonta Freeman was taken at the back end of that round in hopes for maybe a usable flex option and ends up finishing as a top scoring fantasy player and number one at his position. THAT is value. It happens in every round and as the 'sexiness' of players being drafted gets less and less it is at this time the most value can be had... don't miss out on it.
Tuesday, July 26, 2016
Quick Hit: Josh Gordon
Josh Gordon has been reinstated and will serve a 4-game suspension to start the season. Interestingly enough he will return the same week as Tom Brady as New England takes on the Browns in week 5.
A reminder that Josh Gordon led the league at the wide receiver position with only playing 14 games in 2013. Many forget how below average he played in the 5 games he played in 2014:
- 47 targets
- 24 receptions
- 303 yards
- 0 TD's
Ultimately I think this destroys the value of Corey Coleman and Gary Barnidge who both were relying on volume to be valuable in 2015. As far as ranking Gordon this year, we all know his ceiling is sky high, but with the suspension and time to get acclimated back to the game of football I think his best value will come later in the season and in 2017. WR3 is as high as I can go with Gordon right now.
Sammy Watkins: Player Profile
Here's a stat: The Bills quarterbacks led the AFC in passer rating to a wide receiver when targeting Sammy Watkins. Here's another stat: The final nine games of the season, which Watkins played healthy in all of them, he was on pace for 1,600 yards and 12 touchdowns. A first round talent that is falling in drafts because of his foot injury suffered in OTA's (April). Reports of late have been very good as far as Watkins recovery and when we were once wondering about his availability for week one we are now under the impression he may return to the field during training camp.
Monday, July 25, 2016
4th-8th Round Value
The excitement surrounding draft time in fantasy football always seems to stem from who your first round pick is going to be. I am constantly fielding questions about which player should be taken in the top 6 picks or what two guys would I take with picks eleven & twelve. I do enjoy those questions, mostly because they are the easiest to answer and it's typically fun to talk about stud players, but the draft goes so much deeper than these studs. The saying out there is "you can't win your league with your first pick, but you can lose your league with it." I couldn't disagree with this anymore than I do. The league is not won or lost with the first round pick, not even close. In my opinion the league is won through many facets of a fantasy season. Every little part plays its role; the waiver wire, trades, evaluating when a player is due for a decline compared to finding players with a fortunate schedule in weeks to come and of course the draft. When dealing with the draft I like to focus on rounds 4-8 as the most crucial collection of players I acquire on my team.
Sunday, July 24, 2016
Round 1 Draft Strategy: Picks 7-12
Similar to what I did for the first six picks of round one I will do here with the last half of the round. Again, when you look at these charts it is simply a pecking order for me. I suggest you make one for yourself for the first round. When a guy is drafted you just cross him off your list and choose the highest ranked guy. I do this with the second round in mind as well. You will see in my rankings that I have Mike Evans ranked higher than most guys that I have as a choice in picks 7-12, but given ADP data I can tell that I have a good chance of getting Evans on the way back in round two so I don't feel it is smart to use a first round pick on him even though I have him ranked higher. These are very simple concepts learned over time and put to practice in many mock drafts. It's a great time of year people and honestly what else is there to do? Work? Please... it's all eye wash.
Friday, July 22, 2016
The Le'Veon Bell Wildcard
Le’Veon Bell is playing the role of the crazy ex-girlfriend as good as anyone in the league right now. Just when you think things are all good he reminds you why you walked away in the first place. With another suspension looming for Bell we find ourselves in a similar predicament as last offseason. The major difference in 2016 is that we know what DeAngelo Williams can offer and he is the reason we all should potentially be ‘excited’ about a Bell suspension. Yes, I said it…. Excited.
Adrian Peterson: Player Profile
The more I looked into Adrian Peterson's career the more I realized he is a Hall of Fame running back, but at the same time I realized just how 'okay' he is in PPR fantasy leagues compared to the expectations we, as drafters, have of him. In a fantasy landscape shifting towards wide receivers holding more value in the first round we are constantly asking ourselves which running backs deserve to come off the board first. Average draft position over the past seven years shows Peterson as the first or second choice in four of them, but does he warrant that? I really don't think so.
Tuesday, July 19, 2016
Round 1 Draft Strategy: Picks 1-6
Round 1of fantasy drafts is a fickle beast at times although one would think making your very first pick should be the easier part of the process. What I decided to do is make a chart showing how I would go about that pick from every spot. There are some scenarios that I will describe to maybe help understand one humble guy's way of dealing with this first round. These charts show who I value the most and the order in which I would draft the player depending on who is still available (PPR drafts).
Saturday, July 16, 2016
AJ Green: Player Profile
One of the most consistent WR's of the last four years is staring down the barrel of a potential monster season. Marvin Jones is now in Detroit. Mohamed Sanu finds himself in Atlanta and Tyler Eifert is expected to miss a handful of games with his ever lingering ankle injury from the Pro Bowl. This leaves an excess of more than 150 targets to be spread around that passing game.
Tuesday, July 12, 2016
Cam Newton can't be #1 says history
Thursday, July 7, 2016
Stats We Should Know
Every year around this time we thrive for information about our favorite fake football leagues. We're insatiable when it comes to this, especially when this info is geared towards a Twitter debate we are hoping to win. The trick is to take these nuggets for what they're worth and the truth is it may not be as important as you think. Let us not forget that we are dealing with actual people doing actual things and although we can look for tendencies there is often no reason to the madness. Most statistical analysis will aid you in the longevity of success in the fantasy world similar to that of a blackjack table. That little card we have all read on what to do with a 14 when the dealer is showing a 7 is nothing more than a mathematical probability of the most favorable outcome for us over an extended period of time.... it does not mean you will win THAT hand. If you view fantasy football analysis in this manner you will not only garner a better reputation in the game, but will certainly sleep more soundly during the week.
Wednesday, July 6, 2016
Monday, July 4, 2016
2016 Strength of Schedule
Fantasy strength of schedule is a piece of information that you can use at your leisure. It's tricky because the truth is we really have no idea which teams are going to improve on what they did last year until we actually see it. What may seem like a favorable matchup at this point could end up being one to avoid when the time comes. For me I like to use this stuff as maybe a tie breaker between 2 or 3 players that I am deciding on.
Friday, July 1, 2016
Jarvis Landry: Player Profile
Saturday, June 18, 2016
In Doug Pederson I Trust
For those that don't follow the coaching cycle in the NFL I think it's important when you get a big enough sample size of what a specific guy is capable of doing with a specific position on the field. Doug Pederson is nothing short of a RB guru.
Friday, June 17, 2016
Thomas Rawls: Player Profile
Who the *&%@ is Thomas Rawls!? Around week 5 last year this comment became a thing. Marshawn Lynch had decided to let father time catch up to him and in comes an undrafted free agent from Central Michigan by way of the Big House. If you don't know what the Big House is when referring to college football than this might not be for you. Having attended The University of Michigan myself, I had recognized this Rawls character, but had to look him up anyway. If you were able to watch him run there would be no need to have to look him up again.
Wednesday, June 15, 2016
Value pick - Yeldon over Gio
Listening to people in the industry talk about Giovani Bernard compared to TJ Yeldon is on the same level as comparing Robert DeNiro to Keanu Reeves and I don't get it. I don't understand why people are treating Yeldon as if he has Leprosy.
Tuesday, June 14, 2016
Round 3 - WR's
If the picture of 'The League' doesn't put a smile on your face then perhaps some decent value in the 3rd round will do the job. Basically these posts will be a way to highlight some projections I have and if you happen to agree with my process it might give you an idea of how to go about your draft. So many theories have evolved over the past 10 years and for me what I like to do is see what may be available in rounds 3-6 and that ultimately determines how I want to approach the first 2 rounds.
Monday, June 13, 2016
WR Sleepers (1)
I want to look at three wide receivers that will most likely be overlooked headed into the fantasy season this year. Later round picks that may very well be difference makers on a week to week basis. Everyone tries to find those values in the later rounds of drafts that ultimately end up winning your team weeks and championships. I've found 3 so far that I think will do just that.
Sunday, June 12, 2016
Round 2 - RB's
Winning a fantasy football season starts with the draft and being able to find values in each round. Everyone has a different philosophy and there isn't one right way, but what they all have in common is the ability to draft a guy who will perform above their suggested value. This is why creating your rankings needs to be based on more than just numbers from the previous year. As of today there are five running backs coming off the board in round 2.
Saturday, June 11, 2016
Mike Evans Love Story
Every year I seem to be infatuated with a player. Last year it was Travis Kelce and after week 1 it sure seemed like our story would have a happy ending. It's 2016 and there's romance in the air. Mike Evans is my fantasy crush and I am proud to admit it.
Who is Dion Lewis?
Dion Lewis is a 25 year old fifth round draft pick coming out of The University of Pittsburgh. Perhaps an unknown in the NFL for his first two seasons Lewis burst onto the scene last year with the New England Patriots. So much so that they rewarded him during the early part of the season with a 2 year contract extension. Odds are if you are reading this you know what Dion Lewis is capable of. The numbers he was accumulating during the first nine weeks of the season were worthy of a top 3 PPR finish.
Thursday, June 9, 2016
AZ Cardinals Three Headed Monster
Always a popular topic is what to do with the Arizona Cardinals WR corps. How great this situation might be when there are only 2 viable options here, but as it stands now we are dealing with 3 (not to mention my overall RB1 in David Johnson). Here's what I see:
Wednesday, June 8, 2016
Mark Ingram Overvalued?
Saturday, June 4, 2016
Lamar Miller #1?
Can Lamar Miller be the top scoring fantasy RB this season?
Stay with me on this one folks. Anyone who has had Lamar Miller on their fantasy team has constantly dealt with the feeling of him being underutilized in Miami. Miller himself expressed his interest in signing with a team that would use him as a workhorse back during the free agency period this offseason. With that said I looked a bit into the usage he had in Miami versus the usage some workhorse RB's have had the past few seasons and coupled it all with what Bill O' Brien has done with his RB's in Houston the past few years. The outcome is pretty exciting for what Lamar Miller's potential is this season.
Subscribe to:
Posts (Atom)